Vremenska prognoza

[maja_jevtic]

Vreme sutra
17.06.2014.
Srbija
U Srbiji sutra umereno do potpuno oblačno i sveže sa kišom, pljuskovima i grmljavinom, a biće uslova i za lokalne grmljavinske npeogode sa gradom, olujnim vetrom i obilnim pljuskovima. Vetar slab do umeren, promenljviog pravca. Minimalna temperatura od 12 do 18°C, maksimalna dnevna od 18 do 26°C.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra umereno do potpuno oblačno i sveže sa kišom, pljuskovima i grmljavinom, a biće uslova i za kratkotrajne grmljavinske nepogode. Vetar slab, promenljviog pravca. Minimalna temperatura 16°C, maksimalna dnevna 20°C.

Vreme narednih dana
Srbija
Narednih dana umereno do potpuno oblačno sa kišom, pljuskovima i grmljavinom, a biće uslova i za lokalne grmljavinske npeogode sa gradom, olujnim vetrom i obilnim pljuskovima. Maksimalna temperatura oko ili malo ispod prosečnih vrednosti za ovo doba godine. U petak tokom dana u severnim, a uveče i u ostalim predelima prestanak padavina i razvedravanje. U subotu sunčano u umereno toplo, maksimalna temperatura od 24 do 28°C.

Beograd
U Beogradu narednih dana umereno do potpuno oblačno sa kišom, pljuskovima i grmljavinom. U petak krajem dana prestanak padavina i razvedravanje. U subotu sunčano i umereno toplo.

 

[maja_jevtic]

Vreme sutra
18.06.2014.
Srbija
U Srbiji sutra umereno do potpuno oblačno sa kišom, pljuskovima i grmljavinom, uglavnom u centralnim i južnim predelima, gde se očekuje i pojava grmljavinskih nepogoda sa gradom, olujnim vetrom i obilnijim pljuskovima, dok se na severu zemlje očekuje uglavnom suvo. Vetar slab, promenljivog pravca. Minimalna temperatura od 13 do 17°C, maksimalna dnevna od 18°C u centralnim i zapadnim do 26°C na krajnjem severu Srbije.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra umereno do potpuno oblačno i uglavnom suvo, a očekuje se i pojava slabe kiše i kratkotrajnog pljuska sa grmljavinom. Vetar slab, zapadni i severozapadni. Minimalna temperatura 15°C, maksimalna dnevna 23°C.

 

[Torrent Maniak]

Vreme sutra
19.06.2014.
Srbija
U Srbiji sutra pretežno oblačno i sveže za ovo doba godine, povremeno sa kišom, pljuskovima i grmljavinom, a na jugu se ponegde očekuju i kratkotrajne grmljavinske nepogode. Uveče i tokom noći razvedravanje. Vetar slab, promenljivog pravca. Minimalna temperatura od 11 do 17°C, maksimalna dnevna od 17 do 23°C. Samo će na severu Bačke biti suvo, uglavnom pretežno sunčano i toplije, maksimalna temperatura do 26°C, koliko se očekuje u Somboru i u Subotici.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra pretežno oblačno i sveže za ovo doba godine sa kišom i pljuskovima. Vetar slab, promenljviog pravca. Minimalna temperatura 16°C, maksimalna dnevna 19°C. Uveče i tokom noći razvedravanje.

 

[maja_jevtic]

 

[maja_jevtic]

Vreme sutra
21.06.2014.

Srbija
U severnim i zapadnim predelima Srbije sutra pretežno sunčano. U ostalim krajevima umereno do potpuno oblačno i sveže sa kišom, posle podne i uveče prestanak padavina i razvedravanje. Duvaće umeren do pojačan, na istoku Srbije jak severozapadni vetar. Minimalna temperatura od 10 do 16°C, maksimalna dnevna od 20 do 25°C.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra pretežno sunčano, uz umeren do pojačan severozapadni vetar. Minimalna temperatura 15°C, maksimalna dnevna 23°C.

 

[maja_jevtic]

Vreme sutra
22.06.2014.

Srbija
U Srbiji sutra jutro vedro i sveže, u kotlinama i dolinama sa kratkotrajnom maglom, tokom dana sunčano i toplije. Duvaće slab do umeren jugozapadni vetar, samo tokom jutra na istoku pojačan severozapadni. Minimalna temperatura od 8 do 14°C, maksimalna dnevna od 25 do 29°C.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra jutro vedro i sveže, tokom dana sunčano i toplije. Vetar slab, jugozapadni. Minimalna temperatura 13°C, maksimalna dnevna 27°C.

 

[Torrent Maniak]

Vreme sutra
23.06.2014.
Srbija
U Srbiji sutra pretežno sunčano i TOPLO, posle podne i uveče se očekuje promenljivo oblačno i nestabilno, ponegde sa lokalnim pljuskovima i grmljavinom, naročito u severnim predelima, a biće uslova i za kratkotrajne grmljavinske nepogode. Duvaće slab do umeren zapadni i jugozapadni vetar. Minimalna temperatura od 13 do 17°C, maksimalna dnevna od 28 do 32°C.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra pretežno sunčano i TOPLO, posle podne i uveče se očekuje promenljivo oblačno i nestabilno sa lokalnim pljuskovima i grmljavinom, naročito u severnim predelima. Duvaće slab do umeren zapadni i jugozapadni vetar. Minimalna temperatura 17°C, maksimalna dnevna 30°C.

 

[maja_jevtic]

Vreme sutra
24.06.2014.

Srbija
U Srbiji sutra promenljivo oblačno, sparno i nestabilno sa lokalnim pljuskovima i grmljavinom, naročito u severnim predelima, a ponegde će biti i uslova za lokalne grmljavinske nepogode sa gradom, olujnim vetrom i obilnijim pljuskovima. Na jugu tokom celog dana sunčano. Vetar slab do umeren, promenljivog pravca. Minimalna temperatura od 14 do 18°C, maksimalna dnevna od 25 na severu Bačke do 32°C na jugu i jugoistoku Srbije.

Beograd
U Beogradu sutra promenljivo oblačno, sparno i nestabilno sa lokalnim pljuskovima i grmljavinom, a u delovima grada biće uslova i za kratkotrajne grmljavinske nepogode. Vetar slab do umeren promenljviog pravca. Minimalna temperatura 18°C, maksimalna dnevna 29°C.

 

[maja_jevtic]

 

[SPMC]

Storm Forecast

Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 25 Jun 2014 06:00 to Thu 26 Jun 2014 06:00 UTC
Issued: Tue 24 Jun 2014 21:09
Forecaster: PISTOTNIK/GROENEMEIJER/GATZEN

A level 2 and level 3 were issued for Central Italy across the Central Balkans into much of Romania and Bulgaria for severe wind gusts, large hail, tornadoes and to a lesser extent for excessive precipitation.

DISCUSSION

... Italy across the Balkans into Romania and Bulgaria ...

A pronounced Saharan elevated mixed layer moves northeastward, sampled by many of the Tuesday 12z soundings (e.g. Brindisi, Pratica di Mare, Ajaccio, Decimomannu, Trapani, Tunis, Dar El Beida). Its Northern fringes overspread increasingly rich low-level moisture in the range of the frontal boundary. Over Italy and much of the Balkans, surface dewpoints can be expected to rise to around 20C on Wednesday. This results in moderate to high CAPE (1000-2000 J/kg, locally even more) under exceptionally strong 0-6 km shear (25 to 40 m/s) and 0-3 km storm-relative helicity (in large areas higher than 300 m²/s², with simulated maxima up to 600 m²/s²). Large-scale lift in the left exit region of the jet streak overspreads a belt from Northern Italy into the Northern Balkans, Hungary and Romania, while it is mostly absent further South.

A few storms may still be active (or already form) in the morning. More and more storms are forecast to initiate along old outflow boundaries or over orographic features in the course of the day. A quick organization into supercells with large or even extremely large hail and severe downbursts can be expected. Strongly enhanced 0-1 km shear and helicity over a large area, especially from Bosnia into Northern Bulgaria, indicates also a risk of several tornadoes, a few of which may be strong.
Later in the afternoon, storms will likely merge into a squall line that races eastward and poses a primary threat of widespread severe to extreme wind gusts, sustained by a forming Westerly low-level jet (20-25 m/s at 850 hPa). The bordering region of Bulgaria and Romania seems to be at the highest risk of being in the path of such a feature, and despite remaining uncertainties, the exceptional overlap of instability and shear warrant a level 3 for this region. Further convection, often in form of supercells with an ongoing severe weather risk, may continue to initiate all evening long, as outflow boundaries are expected to push Southward into Southern Serbia and Southern Bulgaria. In addition, prolonged periods of heavy precipitation pose a threat of flash floods with larger clusters that form.
Activity will slowly fade overnight as the storms either move onto the Black Sea or encounter a strenghtening cap beneath the elevated mixed layer towards the South.

Further North, storms may be active through much of the forecast period in the vicinity of the frontal zone over Northern Italy, the Northern Balkans and Northern and Central Romania. With an almost front-parallel motion, very high rainfall accumulations and resulting flooding seem to be the dominant risk. Areas of particular concern are the Western and Southern Carpathian mountains in Romania. Current thinking is that this activity will be partly embedded and may decouple from the surface in case it is undercut by too cool air. However, if more discrete storms manage to form and stay surface-based, large hail and severe wind gusts may occur as well.
vir:estofex.org